Uncertain sentiment on EUR/USD | 06 5月 2024

06 5月 2024, EUR/USD

Uncertain sentiment on EUR/USD

EURUSD:

On Monday morning, the EUR/USD pair traded in positive territory for the fourth consecutive day, reaching a high of 1.0765. A softer US dollar (USD) is providing some support to the major pair.

The latest US employment data from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) showed on Friday that US job growth slowed more than expected in April. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) came in below expectations, rising 175k in April versus 315k (revised from 303k) in March, representing the smallest gain since October 2023. Meanwhile, wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell to 3.9 per cent year-on-year from 4.1 per cent. The unemployment rate increased to 3.9% in April from 3.8% in March.

Weaker-than-expected US data has increased the probability of a September rate cut by the US central bank. According to the CME FedWatch tool, financial markets now estimate the probability of a September rate cut at nearly 90%, up from 55% last week. This is putting pressure on the US dollar and creating a tailwind for EUR/USD.

Eurozone inflation remained flat in April as expected, providing the European Central Bank (ECB) with an opportunity to cut interest rates in June. According to economists, the prospect of the ECB diverging from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in cutting interest rates is likely to be "particularly negative" for the Eurozone and could put pressure on the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar.

Trade recommendation: Trading in the channel 1.0730-1.0810 on the rebound from levels

Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

David Johnson
Analyst of «FreshForex» company
同意该评论吗?
交易员的评论:
Close
授权
您浏览器禁用cookie 文件. 在此情况下, 私人空间显示不正常. 如何启动cookie 文件的支持.